. Effects of weather upon the thermal structure of the ocean. Progress report no. 1 . FIGURE 9. CHANGE IN TEMPERATURE DISTRI- BUTION DUE TO MIXING, 20-27 APRIL 1951. TEMPERATURE (T) 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 2 4 6 8 10 5J12 IE UJ l4 s f l6 ° 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 J / / / / FIGURE 10 BT TRACE, 2000Z, 27 APRIL 1951 principles of equation (17) and figure 2, Figure 9 shows the results of this adjustment; the final forecast sound- ing for the evening of 27 April is shown by the solid line. Figure 10 shows a BT observation which may be used as a verification of this fore- cast, having been taken at


. Effects of weather upon the thermal structure of the ocean. Progress report no. 1 . FIGURE 9. CHANGE IN TEMPERATURE DISTRI- BUTION DUE TO MIXING, 20-27 APRIL 1951. TEMPERATURE (T) 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 2 4 6 8 10 5J12 IE UJ l4 s f l6 ° 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 J / / / / FIGURE 10 BT TRACE, 2000Z, 27 APRIL 1951 principles of equation (17) and figure 2, Figure 9 shows the results of this adjustment; the final forecast sound- ing for the evening of 27 April is shown by the solid line. Figure 10 shows a BT observation which may be used as a verification of this fore- cast, having been taken at 2000Z on 27 April. Except for a slight dis- crepancy in surface temperature, the agreement between the predicted and observed temperature distribution must be considered good. If the depth of the thermocline as predicted above would remain con- stant for a reasonable period of time, it could be concluded that a possible method of predicting the thermal struc- ture had been developed. However, another factor remains which requires investigation. It is noted that the thermocline oscillates in a periodic manner which In no way can be attri- buted to the effect of meteorological variables. It was considered that this problem must be considered before adequate means of predicting the thermal 31


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