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Effects of zebra mussels on chlorophyll, nitrogen, phosphorus and silica in north shore waters of Lake Erie effectsofzebramu00ontauoft Year: 1997 ^0-5 « as £. I â¢Â» 0 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 Year Rosehill (fall) r:r â â > ..V a/â¢./â¢â¢â â¢\ -Pred. -â 957o 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 Year Blenheim (summer) 'â ^95 Pred. s (2 ^ â â \l \! :\ -^ 95 \l â .'â â â â 0 - 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 Year â ] E 0 A. / ⢠'^ Dunnville (summer) 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 Year « - Blenheim (fall) \/v/ JV-'\ Mvm -M95 76 78
Effects of zebra mussels on chlorophyll, nitrogen, phosphorus and silica in north shore waters of Lake Erie effectsofzebramu00ontauoft Year: 1997 ^0-5 « as £. I â¢Â» 0 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 Year Rosehill (fall) r:r â â > ..V a/â¢./â¢â¢â â¢\ -Pred. -â 957o 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 Year Blenheim (summer) 'â ^95 Pred. s (2 ^ â â \l \! :\ -^ 95 \l â .'â â â â 0 - 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 Year â ] E 0 A. / ⢠'^ Dunnville (summer) 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 Year « - Blenheim (fall) \/v/ JV-'\ Mvm -M95 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 Year ^ CO a> ^^ Dunnville (fall) â¢' '! â ./'.⢠â 95 -Pred. -95 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 Year o 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 Year Elgin (summer) > I *' 0 J\h +95 -Pred. -95 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 Year ' Rosehill 1 (summer) ,, ^ '^ 'â â ⢠-^ o >^ 0 VI -M II f 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 Year Figure 18. ARIMA forecasts of fall silica and summer total phosphorus concentrations for the post zebra mussel period at the five Lake Erie sampling locations. Measured data points lying outside the +95 confidence envelope of a forecast imply a significant deviation from those expected on the basis of the pre-zebra mussel data. 21
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