Votes and proceedings of the General Assembly of the state of New-Jersey . duction from NOx injection usingthese different eddy diffusivtties, butthe same photochemistry. The resultsfor NOx injections at 20 km and 17 kmshowed easily an order-of-magnitudescatter in 03-reduction owing to thisfactor alone (F-15). This type of analysis was used inCIAP to estimate subjective un-certainty multipliers—in the range to in the stratosphere—forpercent ozone reduction at variousaltitudes (F-16). Thus, in estimatinghow errors propagate through thecause/effect sequences of the NOx-ozone-reduction


Votes and proceedings of the General Assembly of the state of New-Jersey . duction from NOx injection usingthese different eddy diffusivtties, butthe same photochemistry. The resultsfor NOx injections at 20 km and 17 kmshowed easily an order-of-magnitudescatter in 03-reduction owing to thisfactor alone (F-15). This type of analysis was used inCIAP to estimate subjective un-certainty multipliers—in the range to in the stratosphere—forpercent ozone reduction at variousaltitudes (F-16). Thus, in estimatinghow errors propagate through thecause/effect sequences of the NOx-ozone-reduction chain. Schainker etal39 show a few percent error inestimated NOx emission rates am-plifying by about an order ofmagnitude when processed throughtheClAPmodels(F-17). Ultimately, the CIAP and NAS-NAEstudies both estimated uncertainty October 1975 F-14 EDDY DIFFUSIVITY Representative vertical profiles of eddy diffusivity coefficient K (z) used In CIAP1D models. Model-to-model variations reflect uncertainties with regard to theproper description of vertical I02 I03 I04 I05 Eddy Diffusion Coefficients (cm2/sec) lO6 F-15 OZONE VS. NOx EMISSION AT20 KM A Percent global ozone reduction as afunction of uniform NOx emissionstrength at 20 km as calculated byChana for six different K (z) pro-files37 The solid line gives Points are Included for2D and 3D models. B The same exceptNOx source Is at 17 km. O0F


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