. The Cost of Policy Inaction: The case of not meeting the 2010 biodiversity target. produced from bio-energy. Natural gas use grows by per year between 2000 and 2030. Non-fossil power generation increases slightly, but on aggregate fossil fuels retain their high share (84% both in 2000 and 2030). Among the non-fossil resources, use of modern biofuels and renewables expands the most, together supplying 11% of global electricity in 2030. Agricultural production and consumption Up to 2030, it is projected that global agricultural production will need to increase by more than 50% in or
. The Cost of Policy Inaction: The case of not meeting the 2010 biodiversity target. produced from bio-energy. Natural gas use grows by per year between 2000 and 2030. Non-fossil power generation increases slightly, but on aggregate fossil fuels retain their high share (84% both in 2000 and 2030). Among the non-fossil resources, use of modern biofuels and renewables expands the most, together supplying 11% of global electricity in 2030. Agricultural production and consumption Up to 2030, it is projected that global agricultural production will need to increase by more than 50% in order to feed a population more than 27% larger and roughly 83% wealthier than today's. Although it is assumed that productivity of land will increase substantially, the global agricultural area will have to increase by roughly 10% to sustain this production (figure ). After 2030, the growth in crop area slows down, mainly due to a reduced population growth. In developing countries, agricultural production is growing four times faster than in OECD countries, due to faster economic and demographic change, and availability of new agricultural areas. In OECD countries, per capita consumption of agricultural products is almost stable, while it is projected to grow by 70% in developing countries to 2030. Trade, however, plays an important role for some countries and commodities. In general, countries with a high population growth have increasing imports and decreasing exports. Expected growth population, GDP, agricultural production and crop area, baseline % growth relative to 2005 GDP per capita Agricultural production Population Crop area. 2040 2050 Figure Growth of world population, GDP per capita, agricultural production and crop area; baseline The largest part of the increase in agricultural production, as shown in detail in figures and , can be explained by an increasing domestic demand. 68 Alterra-rapport 1718. Please note that these images are extracted from sca
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